As the superpowers spar for influence on the global level, it exacerbates the risk factor in different regions. Development scenarios around the processes in the South Caucasus are subject of particular interest. European think-tanks produce projections of their own on this issue but those forecasts differ with respect to certain aspects. There are some fascinating theses, most importantly on Russia and the issue of the conflicts. Armenian analysts choose to address the issue of a war. According to them, only a war can make Armenia independent – the one between the U.S. and Russia. The future of the South Caucasus is a matter of grave concern in light of such an utterly perilous prospect. Would the world fall for another Armenian provocation?
Military clashes in Syria and Iraq have become more intensive lately with one of the key features being the air bombardments against the civilians. Such attacks had claimed hundreds of lives and caused displacement of thousands more. The situation in Mosul is dramatic to the extent that the government forces have halted the operations. Elsewhere in Syria, the geopolitical tensions around Manbij and Afrin have spiraled. Washington and Moscow have started to back PYD there openly. If Americans are eyeing Raqqa, Russians are making sure that their people are on the ground in Afrin to secure their interests. Ankara's response was an anticipated one as it said the Operation Euphrates Shield would continue. Thus, the outlines of an apparent new triangle of tensions – standoff between US, Russia and Turkey – is starting to emerge.
With less than six months to the next elections to German Bundestag (September 2017) international media is monitoring closely all the political processes around the world that are even slightly associated with such a significant political event. Upcoming elections in one of the most influential nations of the Old World that actually serves as the economic safeguard across the entire European continent are important because imminent is the shaping of the new government and the election of the Chancellor. For the time being, it is evident that the race for the highest public position in the country will not be the easiest one as some of the time-tested political hawks are gearing up for the fight.
The capital of Pakistan hosted the 13th Summit of the Economic Cooperation Organization. The event had drawn great deal of attention. According to the experts, that gathering had a certain impact on many of the issues of global geopolitical relevance. Performance of the ECO member states with respect to prospects of regional cooperation in the South Asia is especially important. The large countries that are represented within the ECO can also influence the dynamics of the processes in the Middle East. Moreover, the ECO is actively involved in such areas as transportation, trade, economy, security and energy. Azerbaijan's energetic performance within the organization is well-acknowledged. President Ilham Aliyev's profoundly substantiated speech at the Islamabad Summit garnered attention in light of the aforementioned aspects.
Not long ago, Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan have marked 20 years since the establishment of diplomatic relations between the republics. Over the years of independence, our countries have achieved impressive results, such as rapid economic growth and socioeconomic stability. We have a very good relationship, which has become synonymous with mutual trust and equality. The foundations of these ties were built on the principles of friendship and partnership and were, of course, laid by National Leader of Azerbaijani people Heydar Aliyev and President of the Republic of Kazakhstan and the Leader of Kazakh nation Nursultan Nazarbayev. These relations have been continuing to grow and develop under the current President of Azerbaijan Ilham Aliyev.
The 20th century witnessed the perpetration of crimes and emergence of universal threats and challenges. It is the past century when humanity was brought face to face with fascism, racism, xenophobia, apartheid, genocide, international terrorism and different phobias, particularly Islamophobia and Turkophobia, which have recently been growing. The last century went down in history as a century of two world wars, millions of deaths and the use of the atomic bomb. The 20th century witnessed one of the large-scale outbreaks of national, religious and racial discrimination in human history. Crimes against humanity encouraged the emergence of a world order dominated by the killing of millions of innocent people and national, religious and ethnic phobias. Unfortunately, all these events challenging humanity are associated with the Western world, Europe, which is considered an example to the rest of the world.
The Azerbaijani capital of Baku has hosted a landmark meeting between the chairmen of the joint chiefs of staff of the Russian and American armed forces. Experts say the agenda did not include mere local and technical issues as the generals discussed global geopolitical problems. And it`s no coincidence that the two superpowers decided to choose Baku as location for the meeting of their military leaders. They gave preference to Azerbaijan as the most rational option from among former Soviet republics. This means that the post-Soviet region is now playing an increasing role in the global geopolitical processes. In the Caucasian sub-region, preference is given to Azerbaijan as a reliable and civil country. We believe that this will have a strong impact on regional and global politics and the formation of security system.
Stratfor, the American global intelligence company with alleged links to the Central Intelligence Agency, has made public its forecast for the year 2017. It highlights global geopolitical trends, and predicts developments in separate regions of the world. Stratfor forecasts that global geopolitical situation will remain complicated in 2017, conflicts and armed clashes will grow in different parts of the world. This applies to conflicts in the South Caucasus too. As far as Armenia is concerned, Stratfor believes the country should not bank on serious military backing. So what comes next in the South Caucasus according to Stratfor`s forecasting is of vital importance.
"Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev's recent visit to Brussels in terms of cooperation with the European Union is of vital importance. The head of state visited Brussels at an official invitation of the European Union senior officials. As a matter of fact heads of state of other countries also visit Brussels frequently. However, President Ilham Aliyev's visit is very different," said deputy head of the Azerbaijani presidential administration, chief of the administration's foreign relations department Novruz Mammadov.
The United Nations Security Council has adopted a resolution urging Israel to stop building settlements on the western bank of the Jordan River. The resolution was adopted by votes of four permanent members, with the USA abstaining. Official Tel Aviv sharply rebuked Washington, and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu accused directly Barack Obama. Israel said it will not fulfill the requirements of the resolution. This situation raises a question: Why does the UN Security Council remain indifferent to the policy of illegal settlement that has been carried out by Armenia in Azerbaijan`s Nagorno-Karabakh and adjacent districts for decades? This encourages Armenia`s impunity on the one hand, and sets a precedent for other states to violate international law on the other. This is why the UN Security Council resolutions largely remain on paper.