THE THINKING OF FUTURE
WE REVEAL ALL THE SECRETS OF WORLD POLITICS

Reasons for Azerbaijan gaining military superiority on the battlefield

Reasons for Azerbaijan gaining military superiority on the battlefield
08 October 2020

The success of our diplomacy can be noticed in the military operations that started on September 27. Turkish officials unequivocally voiced their support for Azerbaijan and welcomed military assistance to our country. Russia has promised that it will not interfere in the internal affairs of its neighbours, while Iran has said it supports Azerbaijan's territorial integrity. As for the forces outside the region, such as the United States and France, their influence on the processes in the region is insignificant. The military-political situation in the South Caucasus is in favour of our state, and at this point, we must make more opportunities to ensure the sovereignty of our country in the occupied territories.

Macron's France – biased co-chair state supports aggressor

Macron's France – biased co-chair state supports aggressor
02 October 2020

The counter-offensive operation to liberate the Nagorno-Karabakh region of Azerbaijan continues. Separatists' appetite in Karabakh and Armenia has increased due to the incomplete activity of those who mediated in the settlement of conflict for thirty years.

Armenia-Azerbaijan Conflict Continues Despite Calls for Peace

Armenia-Azerbaijan Conflict Continues Despite Calls for Peace
01 October 2020

In the evening of September 25, the U.S. Embassy in Azerbaijan and in Armenia published security alerts that included updated travel advisories as a result of the increasing tensions between Armenia and Azerbaijan. The U.S. Embassy in Baku recommended that U.S. citizens should avoid travel outside of the Absheron Peninsula while the U.S. Embassy in Yerevan advised against travel to several regions in Armenia and explicitly warned against travel to Nagorno-Karabakh due to the increased risk of conflict.

Azerbaijan-Turkey strategic alliance deepens amid recent conflicts

Azerbaijan-Turkey strategic alliance deepens amid recent conflicts
24 September 2020

The relationship between Azerbaijan and Turkey has been on a developing course since the very beginning of the former's post-Soviet independence, and has now arguably reached its hitherto peak. The unequivocal support by Turkish leaders to Azerbaijan amidst the escalation of its conflict with Armenia, the subsequent joint exercises and drills between their armed forces, and frequent mutual visits of high-ranking officials regardless of the pandemic are some of the highlights in the bilateral relations of the two countries in recent months. While the ethnic kinship and cultural proximity constitute the cornerstone of these bonds, these are common interests and security threats that lead the two brotherly nations toward building a strategic alliance.

Another war on the horizon in the Armenia-Azerbaijan conflict?

Another war on the horizon in the Armenia-Azerbaijan conflict?
23 September 2020

Armenia is "preparing for a new war. They are concentrating their forces near the line of contact… We follow their actions. Of course, we will defend ourselves", said Azerbaijan's President Ilham Aliyev in an interview with local television channels on 19 September. A day after this statement, tensions rose markedly on the state border between Armenia and Azerbaijan. As a result of this escalation, according to the report shared by the Defense Ministry of Azerbaijan in the morning of 21 September, an Azerbaijani soldier was killed by the armed forces of Armenia in the Tovuz direction on the Armenia-Azerbaijan state border. A day before this incidence, the Azerbaijani army downed an Armenian unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV), the country's Defense Ministry announced.

''Velvet Populism'' Ends Decade-Long Discussion Of The Madrid Principles

''Velvet Populism'' Ends Decade-Long Discussion Of The Madrid Principles
19 September 2020

Recently, those observing the Armenia-Azerbaijan conflict witnessed another brick falling from the already shattered peace process. At the end of August, Anna Hakobyan, the wife of the Prime Minster of the Republic Armenia, Nikol Pashinyan, participated in publicized military training in the occupied territories of Azerbaijan; her targets, picturing Azerbaijani subjects, went viral on social media. This happened only one year after her famous call for peace that saw her pictured with a bouquet of flowers in hand.

Russia Versus Turkey: Drone Battles and Gas Disputes

Russia Versus Turkey: Drone Battles and Gas Disputes
18 September 2020

Russia's and Turkey's leaders have a lot in common as politicians. Both harbor grudges against their Western counterparts and are busy fostering their respective country's defiant stance in international relations. Both Vladimir Putin and Recep Tayyip Erdoğan have gotten rid of all political competition and developed their own brands of conservatism. Putin and Erdoğan would make great allies, but the two happen to be adversaries on too many fronts. Russia and Turkey are actively engaged on opposite sides of the civil wars in Syria and Libya. The South Caucasus may now become a new zone of Russian-Turkish rivalry as border tensions between Armenian and Azerbaijani started to escalate in mid-July.

Azerbaijan-Russia Ties Face Increasing Challenges

Azerbaijan-Russia Ties Face Increasing Challenges
16 September 2020

Russia-Azerbaijan ties face increased challenges as Baku accused Moscow of purposefully stoking the conflict by providing arms to Armenia. It is notable that this rhetoric develops when Turkey is particularly vocal in its military support for Azerbaijan. Though it still remains to be seen whether these signs evolve into a concrete policy shift in Azerbaijan, hopes for diplomatic solution of Nagorno Karabakh conflict recede, and Turkey and Russia up their military support for Baku and Yerevan.

(De)globalization and the asianization of the world economy

(De)globalization and the asianization of the world economy
13 September 2020

The COVID-19 pandemic came at a time of diminishing role of the U.S. from the international scene, re-emergence of China as a global power, strengthening Asia-Pacific region, heightened protectionism, weakening international cooperation, rising discontent from hyper-globalization and over-financialization of our digitalized global economy. Actors of international community have never been engaged and interdependent in this level throughout the history.

Energy interests in the Mediterranean and Black Seas

Energy interests in the Mediterranean and Black Seas
10 September 2020

In recent years the Black Sea and the Mediterranean Sea have emerged as an important alternative source of energy. Therefore, many regional and non-regional states are interested in energy exploration, extraction and transportation to the global energy markets. In July 2020, the US energy company "Chevron" announced the agreement to buy "Noble Energy" for $5 billion. It is worth noting that the deal between "Chevron" and "Noble Energy" is very important because "Noble Energy" discovered Israel's rich Tamar and Leviathan gas fields in the Mediterranean Sea and extracted natural gas from these fields. In the future potential natural gas from these fields will be exported to Europe. In January of the current year Greece, Cyprus and Israel signed an agreement to build the Eastern Mediterranean pipeline (EastMed), which will be able to transport 10 bcm/a of natural gas from the Eastern Mediterranean to the European energy market.

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Foreign press

What peace could mean for the South Caucasus
23 February 2021

What peace could mean for the South Caucasus

The South Caucasus is a region historically known for its instability, largely because it has stood at the intersection of the zones of influence of first Byzantium and Iran, then the Ottoman Empire and Iran, and finally between Russia, Iran and Turkey.

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German portal highlights burning of houses by Armenians before Kalbajar handover
17 November 2020 Deutschlandfunk.de

German portal highlights burning of houses by Armenians before Kalbajar handover

The portal says the Armenians must pull out from the district according to the agreement between Azerbaijan and Armenia, brokered by Russia.

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