THE THINKING OF FUTURE
WE REVEAL ALL THE SECRETS OF WORLD POLITICS

70th anniversary of NATO: new stage of disagreements

70th anniversary of NATO: new stage of disagreements
05 April 2019

The 70th anniversary of NATO was solemnly celebrated in Washington. Celebrations took place against a background of controversial statements. Disagreements among the member states have led to a series of events, which prompted experts and analysts to make forecasts, including on the state of U.S.-Turkey relations. But for some reason one point is disregarded – the United States is now at loggerheads with NATO members. Washington`s stance forced France and Germany to come up with an initiative to form a single European army. In this context, Washington`s motive for unfounded claims against Ankara seems understandable. On the other hand, the role of the Russian factor should not be downplayed. In this article, we will focus on several important aspects of the geopolitical relations among superpowers in the context of the 70th anniversary of the North Atlantic Alliance.

Armenia-Iran relations: Pashinyan`s new reverence

Armenia-Iran relations: Pashinyan`s new reverence
05 March 2019

Armenian Prime Minister N.Pashinyan was given a solemn welcome in Tehran. Red carpets were rolled out, and the Iranian president and Supreme Leader treated ''the hero of the Armenian velvet revolution'' with special warmth. They even gave some promises to N.Pashinyan. After their one-on-one meeting, H.Rouhani and N.Pashinyan announced that they reached agreement on a number of issues. N.Pashinyan singled out the possibility of creating a free trade zone between Armenia and Iran, describing Armenia`s chairmanship of the Eurasian Economic Union as a good opportunity in this respect. H.Rouhani underlined the importance of building cooperation in a range of areas. The two mainly discussed the implementation of gas projects. These developments happened amid tense and complex geopolitical situation in the region. What is the real geopolitical meaning of this visit, which at first sight looks like an attempt to challenge the United States and Russia? In this article we will give an answer to this question.

Armenia in new geopolitical turbulence: empty promises and "real contributions" of verbosity

Armenia in new geopolitical turbulence: empty promises and
22 February 2019

Political analysts describe the ongoing global geopolitical processes as intensive and complex. General opinion is that global tension is growing, which increases risks. The issue was recently discussed at the Munich Security Conference. Against this background, policiesof the South Caucasus countries cause much interest. Opinions of Armenian politicians and experts give a clear picture of official Yerevan`s position. The Armenian leaders still seem to have an inadequate understanding of global and regional processes. They remain adhered to their stance, which is far from reality. This increases regional risks on the one hand, while worsens Armenia`s situation on the other. This article will focus on the moves taken by the puppet state and its marionette rulers.

Pompeo in the Middle East: Some aspects of Washington`s strategic plans for the region

Pompeo in the Middle East: Some aspects of Washington`s strategic plans for the region
14 January 2019

Experts are analyzing geopolitical aspects of U.S Secretary of State Mike Pompeo`s visit to the Middle East countries. The issue gained topicality after Donald Trump`s decision to withdraw the U.S. troops from Syria. The assessments show that Washingtonhas in fact taken a serious political attitude. Its primary goal is to bring together several countries in the Middle East in a military bloc to exploit them in its own interests. It`s a very dangerous move and may cause new standoffs across the region. At the same time, there is a growing possibility that the U.S. will interfere with the situation in Middle East powers because one side of the issue relates to their security. In this context, geopolitical implications of Pompeo`s regional visit need to be analyzed.

Baku meeting of generals: Azerbaijan as a strategic dialogue platform

Baku meeting of generals: Azerbaijan as a strategic dialogue platform
18 December 2018

Meetings between the high military leadership of NATO and Russia in Baku where they discuss global security issues are becoming a regular occasion. NATO's Supreme Allied Commander Europe Curtis Scaparrotti and Chief of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation Valery Gerasimov came together in Baku again, which was met normally. The two generals discussed global military developments. Russia expressed concern over NATO`s deploying its military contingents near its borders. They also exchanged views over the military and political situation in Ukraine, the Balkans and the Middle East. Experts analyze political, geopolitical and military reasons behind the decision to hold the meeting in the capital of Azerbaijan. President Ilham Aliyev gave the best explanation. So we would like to give an insight into the geopolitical importance of the Baku meeting in the context of the President`s assessment.

New conflict: Kerch Strait "engulfed in flames"

New conflict: Kerch Strait
04 December 2018

Ukraine and Russia have a number of problems that are difficult to solve in accordance with international law. Tensions continue to mount between the two countries, and experts are pessimistic about the unity of the Slavs. An incident in the Kerch Strait added to tension between the two countries. Russia seized three Ukrainian ships and detained their crew members. Three sailors were wounded. They admitted to deliberately violating Russian border. The incident provoked global reaction, with the U.S. European Union, Turkey and other countries urging solution to the dispute. The U.S. and Europe accused Russia. The incident is triggering international tension. What geopolitical consequences may this situation have? Will it affect the South Caucasus? In this article we will try to find answers to these questions.

Washington`s South Caucasus scenario: risky forecasts for 2019

Washington`s South Caucasus scenario: risky forecasts for 2019
29 November 2018

The U.S.-based Stratfor`s recent assessment of key developments in 2019 has raised concerns. According to its forecasts, the standoff between the U.S., Iran and Russia in the South Caucasus is going to increase next year, affecting Azerbaijan, Armenia and Georgia. But Washington has different approaches to each of these states. Stratfor forecasts that the U.S. will try to exploit Armenia and Georgia against Russia, while Azerbaijan will attract its attention for pressuring Iran. Washington will offer weapons sales to Armenia and also increase security support and conduct more military exercises with Georgia. As regards Azerbaijan, the U.S. may offer it decrease its economic and energy ties with Iran. All this is likely to increase geopolitical risks in the region. In this article, we will elaborate on Stratfor`s assessments of key geopolitical developments in the South Caucasus in 2019.

Three problems facing EU: risks are growing

Three problems facing EU: risks are growing
14 November 2018

Given its potential and role in global geopolitical processes, the European Union is considered a superpower. Some members of the organizations are the world`s most developed countries. Four of the G7 states are members of the European Union. Experts are very sensitive to political, ideological and geoeconomic issues relating to the EU. Expert analyses on the problems facing the organization and its future have recently grown. Will the EU be able to tackle the problems? How is the organization reacting to internal and external difficulties? To answer these questions,we need to clarify some controversial features of this organization.

Inauguration of Star refinery: geopolitical features of another success story

Inauguration of Star refinery: geopolitical features of another success story
24 October 2018

Implementing specific programs is not an easy task nowadays. A wide variety of conflicts happening in every part of the world have caused numerous problems and difficulties. The South Caucasus region is particularly volatile from geopolitical and geoeconomic points of view. Experience shows that each time Azerbaijan is kick-starting a huge and important project certain forces try to disrupt the process. This was the case with the Contract of the Century, TANAP and TAP agreements and the Southern Gas Corridor project. The recent inauguration of Star oil refinery, Azerbaijan`s largest investment abroad, is a milestone historic event of huge geopolitical and geoeconomic significance in this context. The presidents of Azerbaijan and Turkey underlined this in their speeches at the opening ceremony of Star. This article will look at some of these points.

Theresa May Could Back a New Brexit Referendum

Theresa May Could Back a New Brexit Referendum
23 October 2018

If voters rejected "no deal" in favor of no Brexit in a new referendum, May's hardline opponents would be silenced, and her position as Prime Minister would be secured until the 2022 election. Why would she not seize this chance?

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Foreign press

When a new energy revolution makes the Russians nervous
25 March 2019 The Washington Times

When a new energy revolution makes the Russians nervous

Upon arrival in Baku, the capital of Azerbaijan, the first thing you notice is the boomtown feel.

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Trade war set to be the United States' next foreign policy quagmire
24 September 2018 The Hill

Trade war set to be the United States' next foreign policy quagmire

History is littered with real wars, like those in Afghanistan, Iraq and Vietnam, that were supposed to be won quickly and cheaply but turned out to be the most expensive and inconclusive of quagmires.

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