THE THINKING OF FUTURE
WE REVEAL ALL THE SECRETS OF WORLD POLITICS

Preparing for peace: Is Armenia ready?

Preparing for peace: Is Armenia ready?
25 January 2019

The outcomes of the talks between the Azerbaijani and Armenian foreign ministers in Paris have received widespread media attention recently. Politicians, representatives of international organizations, experts and analysts are assessing the Paris meeting. What attracts their attention is that the ministers gave a hint of the idea of preparing societies for peace. It was confirmed by Azerbaijan`s Ministry of Foreign Affairs in a statement. But the Armenian media reports distort the reality. They try to describe the idea of "preparation for peace" in their own interest. And the issue will be the focus of this article.

Baku meeting of generals: Azerbaijan as a strategic dialogue platform

Baku meeting of generals: Azerbaijan as a strategic dialogue platform
18 December 2018

Meetings between the high military leadership of NATO and Russia in Baku where they discuss global security issues are becoming a regular occasion. NATO's Supreme Allied Commander Europe Curtis Scaparrotti and Chief of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation Valery Gerasimov came together in Baku again, which was met normally. The two generals discussed global military developments. Russia expressed concern over NATO`s deploying its military contingents near its borders. They also exchanged views over the military and political situation in Ukraine, the Balkans and the Middle East. Experts analyze political, geopolitical and military reasons behind the decision to hold the meeting in the capital of Azerbaijan. President Ilham Aliyev gave the best explanation. So we would like to give an insight into the geopolitical importance of the Baku meeting in the context of the President`s assessment.

New conflict: Kerch Strait "engulfed in flames"

New conflict: Kerch Strait
04 December 2018

Ukraine and Russia have a number of problems that are difficult to solve in accordance with international law. Tensions continue to mount between the two countries, and experts are pessimistic about the unity of the Slavs. An incident in the Kerch Strait added to tension between the two countries. Russia seized three Ukrainian ships and detained their crew members. Three sailors were wounded. They admitted to deliberately violating Russian border. The incident provoked global reaction, with the U.S. European Union, Turkey and other countries urging solution to the dispute. The U.S. and Europe accused Russia. The incident is triggering international tension. What geopolitical consequences may this situation have? Will it affect the South Caucasus? In this article we will try to find answers to these questions.

Washington`s South Caucasus scenario: risky forecasts for 2019

Washington`s South Caucasus scenario: risky forecasts for 2019
29 November 2018

The U.S.-based Stratfor`s recent assessment of key developments in 2019 has raised concerns. According to its forecasts, the standoff between the U.S., Iran and Russia in the South Caucasus is going to increase next year, affecting Azerbaijan, Armenia and Georgia. But Washington has different approaches to each of these states. Stratfor forecasts that the U.S. will try to exploit Armenia and Georgia against Russia, while Azerbaijan will attract its attention for pressuring Iran. Washington will offer weapons sales to Armenia and also increase security support and conduct more military exercises with Georgia. As regards Azerbaijan, the U.S. may offer it decrease its economic and energy ties with Iran. All this is likely to increase geopolitical risks in the region. In this article, we will elaborate on Stratfor`s assessments of key geopolitical developments in the South Caucasus in 2019.

Three problems facing EU: risks are growing

Three problems facing EU: risks are growing
14 November 2018

Given its potential and role in global geopolitical processes, the European Union is considered a superpower. Some members of the organizations are the world`s most developed countries. Four of the G7 states are members of the European Union. Experts are very sensitive to political, ideological and geoeconomic issues relating to the EU. Expert analyses on the problems facing the organization and its future have recently grown. Will the EU be able to tackle the problems? How is the organization reacting to internal and external difficulties? To answer these questions,we need to clarify some controversial features of this organization.

Inauguration of Star refinery: geopolitical features of another success story

Inauguration of Star refinery: geopolitical features of another success story
24 October 2018

Implementing specific programs is not an easy task nowadays. A wide variety of conflicts happening in every part of the world have caused numerous problems and difficulties. The South Caucasus region is particularly volatile from geopolitical and geoeconomic points of view. Experience shows that each time Azerbaijan is kick-starting a huge and important project certain forces try to disrupt the process. This was the case with the Contract of the Century, TANAP and TAP agreements and the Southern Gas Corridor project. The recent inauguration of Star oil refinery, Azerbaijan`s largest investment abroad, is a milestone historic event of huge geopolitical and geoeconomic significance in this context. The presidents of Azerbaijan and Turkey underlined this in their speeches at the opening ceremony of Star. This article will look at some of these points.

Theresa May Could Back a New Brexit Referendum

Theresa May Could Back a New Brexit Referendum
23 October 2018

If voters rejected "no deal" in favor of no Brexit in a new referendum, May's hardline opponents would be silenced, and her position as Prime Minister would be secured until the 2022 election. Why would she not seize this chance?

Person responsible for Eurasian integration: Why and how does he hope to "destroy" Azerbaijan?

Person responsible for Eurasian integration: Why and how does he hope to
08 October 2018

Not everyone dares to tell the truth. It is useless to expect justice from everyone. For those involved in politics there is a certain political and diplomatic etiquette. But it is not about Konstantin Zatulin, first deputy chairman of the Russian State Duma Committee for CIS Issues, European Integration and Work with Fellow Countrymen. Zatulin is also responsible for Eurasian integration. And this person stated that Armenia can "destroy" Azerbaijan. Regardless of who says what in any CIS state, Zatulin`s position demands him to make objective, responsible and well-balanced statements. He must not make ridiculous and unfounded statements such as one CIS member state can "destroy" another. In addition, if this person is responsible for integration issues and relations with Russians living abroad, he must be extremely careful, sensitive and fair. In the light of the aforementioned theses, we would like to analyze some of Zatulin`s statements.

The Global Trade System Could Break Down

The Global Trade System Could Break Down
17 September 2018

Because the World Trade Organization tends to operate beneath the surface of the global rules-based trading system, it is easy for people to forget the indispensable role that it plays. But now that the Trump administration is waging a quiet war on the institution, the international community must stop taking it for granted.

Idlib problem: Questions that gained topicality after Tehran summit

Idlib problem: Questions that gained topicality after Tehran summit
11 September 2018

The Turkish, Russian and Iranian presidents` discussing Idlib in Tehran has grabbed global media spotlight. The trilateral summit was followed by discussions at the United Nations, which resulted in seven member states making a joint statement, demanding a political and diplomatic solution to the problem. Germany, France, the United Kingdom and Sweden were among them. The statement affirmed support for Turkey`s efforts to push for a peaceful resolution. It also hailed Recep Tayyip Erdogan`s and Vladimir Putin`s call to find a political and diplomatic solution to Idlib problem. The Syrian opposition`s representative to the UN unequivocally stressed the necessity of supporting Ankara`s position. He said Turkey plays a key role in seeking peace in Syria. Against this background, there is a need to assess geopolitical importance of the Tehran summit and analyze the issues discussed there.

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Foreign press

Trade war set to be the United States' next foreign policy quagmire
24 September 2018 The Hill

Trade war set to be the United States' next foreign policy quagmire

History is littered with real wars, like those in Afghanistan, Iraq and Vietnam, that were supposed to be won quickly and cheaply but turned out to be the most expensive and inconclusive of quagmires.

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Russian military 'drills' point to imminent final clash in Syria
30 August 2018 The Washington Times

Russian military 'drills' point to imminent final clash in Syria

Russia's navy announced it will open ''large-scale drills'' in the Mediterranean on...

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